Tuesday, November 11, 2014

Krugman calls conservative judges corrupt

Nobel Prize winning economist and New York Times columnist Paul Krugman makes a serious charge against conservative judges who let political partisanship sway their court decisions.  He calls them corrupt.   And he warns that this would apply to Supreme Court justices if they destroy the Affordable Care Act over a badly worded sentence.
"So let’s be clear about what’s happening here. Judges who support this cruel absurdity aren’t stupid; they know what they’re doing. What they are, instead, is corrupt, willing to pervert the law to serve political masters. And what we’ll find out in the months ahead is how deep the corruption goes."
That's very strong language for ones who used to be held in the highest respect.   But I have to admit, I have thought the same thing in my dismay over some of their decisions.

Krugman is responding to the surprising fact that at least four of the nine Supreme Court justices voted to hear the appeal of the case that could gut the Affordable Care Act, rob millions of Americans of their newly obtained health insurance, and destroy President Obama's signature legislation and his legacy.

He describes the ACA as a "three-legged stool" -- no discrimination based on medical history, individual mandate, and subsidies based on income.   If any one of those is removed, the whole program will become unworkable.

The case depends on the wording of one sentence that establishes the subsidies and links them to exchanges set up "by states."   Now, when SCOTUS ruled on the constitutionality of the ACA, it struck out one part that more or less insured that each state would set up an exchange, lest they lose federal money for Medicaid programs already established.   To keep the federal money they were already getting for Medicaid, they had to expand it to include a stipulated wider range.    

So this wording made sense when it was anticipated that all -- or at least most -- states would set up exchanges.  The federal exchange was put in only as a sort of back-up;  it was not intended to be a major player in the program.   This was not mentioned when it failed so miserably in those first few weeks of implementation, but it is none the less true.   Besides all the real problems, it was trying to handle vastly larger numbers than it was designed to handle.

After SCOTUS removed that inducing penalty, however, about two-thirds of the states (mostly under Republican control) opted out of setting up an exchange, leaving residents of those states to use the exchange set up by the federal government.  Not a big problem, because that exchange is now working well;   millions have gotten insurance, and those who need it have gotten subsidies.  But without the subsidies, everything would collapse.

Krugman explains:
"As I said, everything else in the act makes it clear that this was not the drafters’ intention, and in any case you can ask them directly, and they’ll tell you that this was nothing but sloppy language. Furthermore, the consequences if the suit were to prevail would be grotesque. States like California that run their own exchanges would be unaffected. But in places like New Jersey, where G.O.P. politicians refused to take a role, premiums would soar, healthy individuals would drop out, and health reform would go into a death spiral. . . .


"Once upon a time, this lawsuit would have been literally laughed out of court. Instead, however, it has actually been upheld in some lower courts, on straight party-line votes — and the willingness of the Supremes to hear it is a bad omen.

"So let’s be clear about what’s happening here. Judges who support this cruel absurdity aren’t stupid; they know what they’re doing. What they are, instead, is corrupt, willing to pervert the law to serve political masters. And what we’ll find out in the months ahead is how deep the corruption goes."
Chief Justice John Roberts saved the ACA once before when he came up with the somewhat tortured reasoning that deemed the individual mandate to buy insurance a tax, which Congress has the power to levy.   One would think that he would again cast the fifth vote on what would not require any such mental gymnastics -- but would simply recognize that the wording obviously does not reflect the lawmakers intent.

In that decision, Roberts saved the ACA by finding a way to uphold one leg of the three-legged stool.   Will he do the same to save another leg, the subsidies?

The Chief Justice is said to care about the legacy of what will be referred to in history as "The Roberts Court."   It's already tainted by decisions such as Citizens United and Hobby Lobby -- and tainted by the accusations of bias toward Republican positions and toward business interests.    If they kill the Affordable Care Act, that tainted legacy will be carved in stone.

Ralph

Monday, November 10, 2014

What to expect from a GOP senate #1

"Elections have consequences"    President Obama gave that phrase a place in history when he used it to Republic congressional leaders in a meeting to address budget issues and the threatened shut-down of the government.

We Democrats have to acknowledge that there are going to be consequences of the Republicans having won control of the Senate (for the next two years, at least).

The one I'm most worried about is getting federal judges confirmed, especially if there is a vacancy on the Supreme Court in the next two years.

But there is also the envionment.   Sen. James Inhofe (R-OK) is going to be the new chair of the Environment and Public Works Committee.   Described by Timothy Cama in The Hill as "an established enemy of Obama's EPA and skeptic of the scientific consensus on human-caused climate change," Inhofe published a book two years ago titled "The Greatest Hoax:  How the Global Warming Conspiracy Threatens Your Future."

It's one thing to have the embarrassment of the likes of Georgia's noisy but ineffectual Rep. Paul Braun ("evolution is a lie straight from the pits of hell") as a member of the Science Committee;   it's another to put an anti-science, climate-change denier as chair of the committee that has oversight of what he denies.   Especially when he is a major figure in the 
Republican causus.

Republicans in the House have already passed a whole slate of bills to roll back EPA regulations, but the Senate under Democratic control has not taken them up.   Now they have Inhofe and McConnell to open the doors for them.

It's going to be a dark two years.    But remember, in 2016 all those Tea Party zealots who came into the Senate in 2016 will be up for re-election.    And the balance will be reverse from what it was this year, because Republicans will have to defend almost twice as many seats as Democrats in 2016.

Ralph

Sunday, November 9, 2014

Election paradox: people vote for person who opposes issues they want

One of the puzzling paradoxes of this election was how often voters support the candidate who opposes the issues they care about.    Here are a couple of examples:

In Illinois, voters approved ballot initiatives to raise the minimum wage and to put a "tax on millionaires."   Incumbent Democratic Gov. Pat Quinn supported both.    But voters elected the Republican who opposed both measures.    In several others states as well, voters approved a minimum wage hike by a big margin but elected conservative senators who even oppose the concept.

In Colorado, incumbent Democratic Sen. Mark Udall made reproductive rights the central issue of his campaign.   By a large margin, voters rejected --for the third time -- a proposed "personhood" amendment to the state constitution.    At the same time, they ousted Udall and elected Republican Rep. Cory Gardner, who is a co-sponsor of personhood legislation in Congress.   During the campaign he tried to distance himself from it, saying he did not support that policy -- but he has not withdrawn his name as a sponsor.

So what's going on?    We know from past elections that Republicans are great at getting people to vote against their own economic interests -- when they support tax-cutting, spending-cutting representatives, even when those tax cuts will benefit the wealthy and the spending cuts will hurt people like themselves who need government services.

Does this mean our electorate is blind and/or ignorant of the cause and effect relationship between whom they send to congress and what laws get passed?

Is it all just too complicated for the average voter -- so they vote for the one who appeals on some emotional level, regardless of the issues and the consequences?

I said during this campaign that I thought the American voters were smarter than the Republicans gave them credit for.   Maybe I was wrong.

Or is it that the misinformation team of FoxNews, talk radio, and conservative politicians do such a good job that people just wind up confused?   It does take some work, and good choices of news and opinion sources, to be that well-informed electorate mentioned in our Constitution.

Ralph

Saturday, November 8, 2014

Ebola in perspective

For a second week now, new cases and number of deaths from Ebola continue to decline in Liberia, although not yet in Sierra Leone and Guinea.   Let's take a look at what has happened here in the U.S.

One patient has died from Ebola in the U.S., and he was infected in his native Liberia before he came to Dallas, where he died despite belated treatment in a hospital there.  Two of the nurses who took care of him came down with Ebola.   Both of them have been cured and released from hospitals.

No one exposed to him on the flight, nor any of the 23 people, including his fiance, whom he spent time with before he was hospitalized, has become ill.

The onset of symptoms in the two nurses has now passed the 21 day period, and no one has caught it from either of them.    The only other case of someone who came down with the disease while in this country -- as opposed to being brought here for treatment after already getting sick in West Africa -- is the volunteer American doctor who went to Liberia to help.   He is currently being treated at New York's Bellevue Hospital.   He caught the disease while working with patients in West Africa but only became symptomatic after returning to the U.S.  Reports on him are that he is now in stable condition.

Soon, his onset will have passed the 21 day mark without any new cases stemming from him.

The Ebola volunteer-nurse, that Gov. Christie ordered into quarantine as she arrived on a flight from Africa, was never ill and remains well at home in Maine.  Unless she becomes sick within the next four two days (21 days since her last contact with a patient), there is no possibility of anyone acquiring Ebola from her.

Summary:    Only two cases of Ebola have been actually acquired in this country.   No one has caught it from them.  Both of them were nurses working with the first Ebola patient treated in a general hospital setting before proper isolation techniques had been implemented there.

No one on the health care teams at the specialized treatment centers (Emory Hospital, Nebraska Medical Center, NIH) has acquired the disease.

Maybe it's time for the hysteria to abate, as I believe it is doing.   Or, now that the distraction of the election is over, will it flare up again?

Ralph

Friday, November 7, 2014

We have failed President Obama more than he has failed us

A letter to the editor, published in the Nov. 6th New York Times conveys my thoughts exactly.    Here it is:
"To the Editor,
     "In a slightly parallel universe, it would be interesting to see how Democratic senators would have fared if, instead of running from President Obama, they had embraced this leader who saved the country from another depression;  saved the auto industry; brought unemployment down from 10 percent to below 6 percent; killed America’s greatest enemy, Osama bin Laden; passed health insurance reform; and put out constant fires.

     "If instead of embracing the flawed media narrative of a “failed presidency,” Democratic senatorial candidates had embraced Mr. Obama’s monumental accomplishments, I believe they would be returning to Washington next year as senators, not as lobbyists.
JOHN E. COLBERT
Chicago, Nov. 5, 2014"
Amen to that.   I believe the greatest failing of this election cycle was the Democrats losing the message battle and allowing the Republicans to demonize President Obama and his accomplishments.   Then all they had to do was link the Democratic candidate with Obama, and they did this in infinite repetition of tv ads.

I, too, am disappointed that he does not have Lyndon Johnson's ability to strong-arm congress into passing his legislation, nor Bill Clinton's charm (and craving to be liked) to shmooze them, and that, despite his soaring speeches, he has not been able to move people to action like Bobby Kennedy in his presidential campaign, cut short by an assassin's bullets.

No president can fully satisfy all our wishes.   But President Obama's accomplishments are far greater than he gets credit for, even in his own party.  

When asked about specific policy positions, the people side more with Democrats on issues than with Republicans.  This is true of health care, sensible gun control, immigration reform, minimum wage (several states passed ballot initiatives to raise wages in their states), gay marriage.    They support these issues, but they vote for the other guy who opposes them.

Why didn't that become a battle cry for Democrats?

To the extent that President Obama has failed us, we have failed him even more by not drowning out the Republican trash-talk.

And most of all, we have failed him by not giving him a congress that the was willing to work with him, instead of being committed to making his policies fail.

Ralph

Thursday, November 6, 2014

Something good that happened in the election

On Tuesday (Nov 4) I wrote, in "Citizens United in Action," about the Chevron Oil Company's attempt to buy an entire mayor and city council in the small city of Richmond, CA, where it operates a refinery.

A little more information from Rachel Maddow last night.    Repeated disasters of explosions and fires have become a nightmare for Richmond.   One huge fire two years ago sent 50,000 people to the hospital.     The city government decided to do something about it and began pressuring Chevron to install new safety measures.

So this year, Chevron decided to buy a new city government for Richmond, one that would be Chevron-friendly.   It poured $3 million into support for its own hand-picked new candidates for mayor and council.   The incumbent mayor raised about $40,000, in contrast to the three million used against him.

And what did Chevron get for its three million?     Nothing.    Nada.    Zilch.

The mayor and all seven councilors were re-elected.

That's what I wanted to see all over this election cycle -- that the money in politics problem would take care of itself when the mega donors found out that they didn't get much bang for the buck.   It's not yet clear whether this was true overall, but it certainly proved true in Richmond, CA.     Bravo to local control.

Ralph

What happened?

Today has been a day of alternating waves of despair and scrounging for an explanation of what happened.

How did we go from all these senate races being stuck in statistical ties -- only to have the Republican win them by 6% or 8%?    Especially, given that there were reasons to think that Democratic voters were under-represented in many of the polls?

So far, the best I've come up with stems from something I read today, saying that Mitch McConnell's strategy was based on the fact that the most people don't know which party controls the houses of congress;   and so, when there is deadlock, they always blame the president and vote against his party.

The Republicans certainly tried -- and succeeded -- in augmenting that strategy by spending six years demonizing President Obama at every opportunit and by thwarting as much of his agenda as they could, to make him look ineffectual.

They made the president the enemy;   then all their campaigners had to do was to link their Democratic opponent with Obama.     That certainly was true in Kentucky and Georgia, where the most prevalent tv ads were some version of "A vote for Michelle Nunn is a vote for Obama."

The Democrats, I'm afraid, played right into this strategy by running away from the president and his very real accomplishments.    In retrospect, they -- and the country -- might have been better off if they had stood up to the criticism and proudly supported his policies and explained why -- turning the tables on their opponents saying "And David Purdue wants to deprive you of that right."

This was unanticipatedly bad . . . with very long repercussions.

Ralph