Tuesday, October 20, 2015

Don't do it, Joe

Joe Biden's decision as to whether to enter the Democratic presidential primary is expected within the next two days.    My feeling all along is that, as of now, his legacy will be that of everybody's favorite uncle.    But, if he runs and loses, he will be remembered as the guy who lost a presidential bid three times.

And Hillary Clinton's performance in the debate proves that she would be very hard to beat -- unless there is another shoe to drop in the Benghazi or email controversies.

Rep. James Clyburn (D-SC) has the best advice for Biden, as reported by Howard Fineman.  Rather than entering the race now, Biden should instead say that he is "available if circumstances warrant it" -- meaning that if Hillary implodes.   Clyburn added that she has the best chance to win the White House in 2016.

The significance of this message from Clyburn is huge.   Biden's chances, at this late date, of winning either of the first two primaries (Iowa and New Hampshire) are nil.   So he would depend on winning South Carolina and doing extremely well throughout the south, which means the African-American vote.

James Clyburn is not only #3 in the House Democratic leadership team, he is an African-American from South Carolina -- and arguably the go-to man to win the South Carolina primary.

 Clyburn says he hasn't spoken with Biden about this -- so presumably this is a warning, not a trial balloon from the Biden camp.

I hope Biden listens.    This is good advice from a man who knows.

Ralph

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