Sunday, October 31, 2010

Steele lowering expectations

Michael Steele, the embattled chairman of the Republican National Committee, is sort of a loose cannon, often making statements that he has to retreat from later or that cause consternation among his base. So we need to not put too much significance on this, but . . .

This morning on CNN's "State of the Union" he was clearly trying to lower expectations for his party's taking control of the House. Pointing out that if they get the 39-seat conversion they need to have a majority, that is a victory. But also, if they take 37 seats, that is also success.

Well, yes, of course. But that puts a different cast on it from recent GOP boasting about taking the gavel away from Nancy Pelosi, as though it was a done deal.

My personal gut feeling is that it's not going to be quite as bad for the Democrats as has been predicted. The latest revision of the HP prediction is a 90% chance that the Dems will retain control of the Senate; and down to a 77% probability that the Repubs will take control of the House.

Tuesday night can't come soon enough. The country is exhausted from this way-too-long and way-too-expensive and way-too-trivia-focused compaign.

Ralph

1 comment:

  1. Just since I wrote this 2 hours ago, that prediction of Democrats' chances of keeping control of the senate has risen to 92%, I think indicating one of the "toss-up" races has moved into the "lean Dem" column.

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