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I want to make this point very clear.

The rationalist, numbers cruncher Nate Silver predicted it right on the nose:   He called all 50 states exactly right, and he was off on the popular vote by only 0.2%.  Obama's win was 0.2% more than Nate predicted.

But all the other polls were way off -- and especially the Republicans' internal polls.  They were fully expecting a big win -- and they had a big loss.


The fact is that this was not a close election.   It was a very decisive win for Obama and the Democrats in Congress.   He won 332 electoral votes (needing 270 to win), and he won the popular vote by 2.7%.

And, far from losing six or more seats and control of the senate, as was feared, Democrats increased their margin by 2 seats and now have a 55 to 45 majority.

Ralph