Sunday, July 5, 2009

New support in Iran

Just when it was beginning to look as if the Iranian protest movement had been effectively silenced, this development is reported in The New York Times by Michael Slackman and Nazila Fathi.
The most important group of religious leaders in Iran called the disputed presidential election and the new government illegitimate on Saturday, an act of defiance against the country’s supreme leader and the most public sign of a major split in the country’s clerical establishment.

A statement by the group, the Association of Researchers and Teachers of Qum, represents a significant, if so far symbolic, setback for the government and especially the authority of the supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, whose word is supposed to be final. The government has tried to paint the opposition and its top presidential candidate, Mir Hussein Moussavi, as criminals and traitors, a strategy that now becomes more difficult — if not impossible.

“This crack in the clerical establishment, and the fact they are siding with the people and Moussavi, in my view is the most historic crack in the 30 years of the Islamic republic,” said Abbas Milani, director of the Iranian Studies Program at Stanford University. “Remember, they are going against an election verified and sanctified by Khamenei.” . . . .

The announcement came on a day when Mr. Moussavi released documents detailing a campaign of fraud by the current president’s supporters, . . . The documents, published on Mr. Moussavi’s Web site, accused supporters of the president of printing more than 20 million extra ballots before the vote and handing out cash bonuses to voters. . . .

With its statement Saturday, the association of clerics — formed under the leadership of the revolution’s founder, Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini — came down squarely on the side of the reform movement. . . .

The clerics’ decision to speak up again is not itself a turning point and could fizzle under pressure from the state, which has continued to threaten its critics. . . .

While the government could continue vilifying the three opposition leaders, analysts say it was highly unlikely that the leadership would use the same tactic against the clerical establishment in Qum. . . .

The clerics’ statement chastised the leadership for failing to adequately study complaints of vote rigging and lashed out at the use of force in crushing huge public protests.

It even directly criticized the Guardian Council, the powerful group of clerics charged with certifying elections. . . .

Perhaps more threatening to the supreme leader, the committee called on other clerics to join the fight against the government’s refusal to adequately reconsider the charges of voter fraud. The committee invoked powerful imagery, comparing the 20 protesters killed during demonstrations with the martyrs who died in the early days of the revolution and the war with Iraq, asking other clerics to save what it called “the dignity that was earned with the blood of tens of thousands of martyrs.”

The statement was posted on the association’s Web site late Saturday and carried on many other sites, including the Persian BBC, but it was impossible to reach senior clerics in the group to independently confirm its veracity.

Perhaps, instead of being silenced, the movement has entered a second, more serious phase that could still produce the changes the people want.

Again, praise be to Obama for not injecting the U.S. into this internal fight. It could only have made things worse and given Khamenei ammunition to discredit the uprising as a U.S. backed insurrection.

Ralph

1 comment:

  1. Corrections: There was apparently some misunderstanding at the New York Times. The group that issue this statement is not, in fact, "the most important group of religious leaders in Iran" but another group with an almost identical name in Farsi.

    In addition, apparently different translators watered down the languague, saying it didnt' call the election "illegitimate" but in fact rather timidly asked the question of whether it could be considered legitimate given all the charges of fraud.

    So enthusiasm was premature.

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