Sunday, October 28, 2012

Nate Silver's predictions

Nate Silver's election predictions show Obama holding or slightly increasing his lead in the swing states over a few days ago.  It's still perilously close, and some major event could swing things around.  But the flood of SuperPac advertising doesn't seem to have been decisive here in the last 10 days of the campaign.

Here's the latest prediction as of Sunday, October 28th:

Projected electoral vote:     Obama 295.5         Romney 242.5

Projected popular vote:      Obama 50.3%     Romney 48.7%

Chances of winning:            Obama 73.6%      Romney 26.4%

Now those are number I can live with.

Ralph

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