Thursday, August 11, 2016

Trump in 4th place among African-American voters

In an average of four nation-wide polls, Donald Trump is in 4th place among African-American voters:  Clinton 86%, Stein 5%, Johnson 4%, and Trump 2%.   Even Romney did better, and he was running against the first ever black, incumbent president.

Black voters are expected to make up 10% to 15% of the electorate, so he would have to over-perform with some other demographic to have any chance of winning.  Hispanics?   No, a huge deficit there.   Women?   Same thing.   White men?   Depends on whether they have a college degree.    Frankly, there just aren't enough white men without college degrees to make up Trump's huge deficits among those other groups.


No comments:

Post a Comment