A win for the Democrats.
That's my take on it.
1. Arlen Specter was soundly defeated by Joe Sestak 53% to 47%. Sure, Specter was running in the Democratic primary, and he's been on the team since he defected. And Obama made a campaign stop for him -- but he didn't go back for the end game, and his support seemed tepid. My guess is that it was a promise from back when Specter crossed the aisle.
Personally, I'd much rather have Sestak. So it feels like a win for our team -- a real Democrat -- if he can win the general election.
2. The Democrat Mark Critz won the special election to fill John Murtha's seat, defeating Republican Tea Party supporter Tim Burns. They were neck and neck in the latest polls, so the victory shows momentum coming into the race.
3. Blanche Lincoln was forced into a runoff with her Democratic challenger in Arkansas, Lt. Gov. Bill Halter, a former member of the Clinton administration. Lincoln had particularly angered the more liberal Democrats because of her opposition to the health reform bill.
In all three of these closely watched elections, the more liberal person won; or, in the case of Arkansas, the more liberal challenger forced the center-right incumbant into a run-off.
4. And then of course Rand Paul won big in the Republican primary in Kentucky -- but that could be good news for the Dems on November. How is this good for the Dems? Mitch McConnell and other Republican leaders had endorsed his opponent, so it was a slap at them. A Tea Party darling, Paul is way to the right of his opponent. If he wins in Nov., we're probably no worse off than with the other guy. And, maybe he'll be too extreme for the middle and they'll vote for the Dem in November.
That's my midnight take on it.
Ralph