Friday, November 9, 2012

Nate Silver -- big winner

There is a satisfying parallelism between Karl Rove's star sinking like a lead balloon and Nate Silver's star rising like a rocket, boosted by his correctly predicting the winner of all 50 of the states in the presidential race, as well as most of the senate races.

A triumph of data over fantasy.   It seems that Romney and his team were stunned by the magnitude of the defeat.  They simply didn't believe all the outside polls but relied on their in-house polling, which must have used a Republican-friendly skewed sample.

This is another of the profound subtleties that's coming out of this election -- the come-uppance of those who live in the "faith-based," as opposed to the "reality-based" world.

Ralph

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