"Donald Trump likes to say he has created a political movement that has drawn 'millions and millions' of new voters into the Republican Party. 'It’s the biggest thing happening in politics. . . All over the world, they’re talking about it,' he's bragged.
"But a Politico analysis of the early 2016 voting data show that, so far, it’s just not true.
"While Trump’s insurgent candidacy has spurred record-setting Republican primary turnout in state after state, the early statistics show that the vast majority of those voters aren’t actually new to voting or to the Republican Party, but rather they are reliable past voters in general elections. They are only casting ballots in a Republican primary for the first time. . .
“All he seems to have done is bring new people into the primary process, not bring new people into the general-election process . . .
"For this analysis, Politico obtained voting statistics from GOP officials and independent analysts . . . . To varying extents, the findings rebut both of Trump’s central claims: that he has brought in waves of new voters and that he has attracted flocks of Democrats. . . . "
[As one analyst put it] “I think the glass is half full. But it’s a small glass — maybe a shot glass.”
Ralph
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